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The K Carried the Consumer — and May Be Narrowing

factors

2026-06-30 08:08:00

Related:United States - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy (Chain-Type Price Index) (PCEPILFE)United States - youth unemployment rateUnited States Budget DeficitUnited StatesConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesConsumer Services

A handful of households are carrying US demand. The top 10% by income account for ~23% of total consumption versus ~4% for the bottom 10%, making aggregate demand disproportionately reliant on higher-income balance sheets. Why it matters: This concentration lets headline consumption mask underlying stress — and explains the disconnect between resilient spending and a softer labor market that emerged last year. Consumption share by...

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