S&P 500 Live Price, Chart & Factor Exposure Free Data & Analytics Access
I.SPX in our API & Excel add-in to retrieve this data.S&P 500 Forecast
S&P 500 short-term price forecast is aBUY since short-term momentum is 100.00%. S&P 500 long-term forecast is aBUY since long-term trend is 100.00%. S&P 500 price based on realized volatility has a forecasted price between 7,873.81 to 7,875.19 on a daily basis, 7,872.98 to 7,876.02 on a weekly basis, 7,871.33 to 7,877.67 on a monthly basis, and 7,863.53 to 7,885.47 on an annual basis.
S&P 500 Price Chart
S&P 500 Factors
Factor exposure for S&P 500 — signals, relative value, risk-model betas and fundamentals, plus factor models published by contributors.
What each factor says now, and what the next week and month paid when it last said the same thing — annualised, against the volatility it came with.
Quantitative Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
Momentum
|
1 | signal, −1 to +1 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Strong Positive | ||||||
|
Trend
|
1 | signal, −1 to +1 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Strong Positive | ||||||
|
Mean Reversion
|
0 | price vs 250d mean | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Neutral | ||||||
|
20DVol
|
-0.429 | annualised | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Normal | ||||||
Financial Factors
Macroeconomic Factors
Fundamental Factors
Contributor Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
S&P 500 vs Gold (MacroTech)
admin
|
7,575.39 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Slightly Rich | |||||||
|
SPX test1
admin
|
4,521.12 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | Cheap | |||||||
Asset Risk Exposure
Global Risk Factors
Country Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
Manufacturing PMI
|
55.3 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
S&P 500
|
7,704.13 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
United States 10-Year Bond Yield
|
5.253 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
US 2-year bond yield
|
4.904 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
US Services PMI
|
50.9 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
Sector Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
France 10-Year Bond Yield
|
4.714 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
Industry Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
France 10-Year Bond Yield
|
4.714 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
Sub-Industry Factors
| Factor | Value | Where in its own range | Forward 1 week, annualised | Forward 1 month, annualised | n · hit | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | in this state return / vol |
all history return / vol |
Sharpe | |||||
|
Composite PMI
|
51.7 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
Manufacturing PMI
|
55.3 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
|
51 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
|
US Services PMI
|
50.9 | no factor history — no forward return, and no volatility to measure it against | ||||||||
Annualised on trading-day offsets — the 1-week forward return is 5 trading days so ×50.4, the 1-month is 20 so ×12.6, volatility by the square root of the same. Sharpe is return ÷ volatility. No t-statistic: daily sampling overlaps these windows, so the observation count overstates the independent evidence behind them.
Research on S&P 500
Recent MacroFinance research reports referencing S&P 500, newest first.
- Crowding at Historic Extremes as Systematic Funds Hit Worst Streak Since 2023 Jun 30, 2026
- The AI Trade Splinters: Memory Soars, Hyperscalers Slip Jun 30, 2026
- Fade USDJPY and Crowded AI; Own Convexity and the Broadening Trade Jun 30, 2026
- Earnings Broaden Beyond AI as the Median Stock Reaccelerates Jun 30, 2026
- Equities Rotate, Crude Slides, and Liquidity Tightens Under the Surface Jun 30, 2026
- Resilience Meets Its Reckoning as AI, Energy and Fed Risk Converge Jun 30, 2026
- Trading Ideas — 25 June 2026 Jun 25, 2026
- Global Stocks — 25 June 2026 Jun 25, 2026
- Global Markets — 25 June 2026 Jun 25, 2026
- Global View — 25 June 2026 Jun 25, 2026
- S&P 500 Year-End Target Revised — Mock Jun 5, 2026
- SPX Volatility Regime Shift — Mock Jun 1, 2026
- Cross-Asset View: SPX vs Bonds vs Gold — Mock May 27, 2026
Statistical Distribution of Returns
Filters
| Factor | Indicator | Criteria | Value | And (for Between) | Action |
|---|
| Statistic | Unfiltered | Filtered |
|---|
About S&P 500 (United States)
S&P 500 (United States) is tracked on MacroFinance with a live and historical price chart, weekly factor-return attribution, statistical analysis (return distribution, drawdowns and seasonality), and free downloadable historical data (the last 10 years as CSV or JSON, no login).
Last updated: October 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is S&P 500?
What factors affect S&P 500?
Where can I download free S&P 500 historical data?
How is S&P 500 analysed statistically?
Is the S&P 500 data updated in real time?
Free S&P 500 historical data (last 10 years)
Browse or instantly download the last 10 years of S&P 500 daily price history. A free account unlocks the full history, an Excel export with factors, and API access.
Download CSV (10y)Download JSON (10y)Full history, Excel & API (free account)
| Date | Close |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 7704.13 |
| 2026-09-23 | 7706.03 |
| 2026-09-22 | 7764.64 |
| 2026-09-21 | 7764.7 |
| 2026-09-18 | 7650.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | 7637.76 |
| 2026-09-16 | 7551.81 |
| 2026-09-15 | 7585.73 |
| 2026-09-14 | 7619.98 |
| 2026-09-11 | 7656.98 |
Understanding the Statistical Distribution
The histogram shows the frequency of returns for the selected timeframe (1-Day, 1-Week, 1-Month, etc.). Values are expressed in % buckets after applying the corresponding scaling.
- Unfiltered = all observations within the date range.
- Filtered = observations that meet the criteria you add in the Filters panel (e.g., RSI > 60, Bubble Risk = LOW, etc.).
Annualization & Scaling
Means and standard deviations are annualized by the selected timeframe: 252 (daily), 52 (weekly), 12 (monthly), 6 (bi-monthly), 4 (quarterly). Histogram buckets display returns × 100.
Interacting with Filters
- Choose a factor (Momentum, Trend, Bubble Risk, RSI).
- Select a criterion (greater / equal / smaller / between).
- Set the value(s) and the chart & stats recalc instantly.
Use the date inputs to constrain the analysis window. “Clear” resets filters and dates.